Sampling and inference

Use sampling distributions, unbiased variance estimates and planned population-mean tests to draw contextual conclusions in H2 Mathematics.

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Sampling means and unbiased variance

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SEAB syllabus · 2027 · MOE syllabus

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Before you begin

Use sampling distributions, unbiased variance estimates and planned population-mean tests to draw contextual conclusions in H2 Mathematics.

Learning goals
  • Reason about sampling and sampling distributions
  • Calculate a population-mean estimate from a specified independent sample
  • Calculate an unbiased population-variance estimate from a specified independent sample
  • Calculate an estimated standard error from a specified independent sample
  • Calculate a sample mean's expectation from specified population moments
  • Calculate a sample mean's variance from specified population moments
  • Calculate a sample mean's standard error from specified population moments
  • Calculate a sample-mean probability under a specified exact or approximate normal model
  • Calculate a minimum sample size for specified normal-model precision
  • Formulate and interpret a justified hypothesis test
  • Calculate a signed population-mean test statistic under a stipulated normal-test model
  • Calculate a population-mean test p-value for a prespecified alternative
  • Calculate all standardised critical boundaries for a planned population-mean test
  • Calculate all sample-mean critical boundaries for a planned known-variance normal test
  • Determine a population-mean test decision using the unrounded planned p-value and level
Syllabus statements covered
  • Include: population and simple random sample; sample mean X̄ as a random variable with E(X̄) = μ and Var(X̄) = σ²/n; distribution of sample mean from a normal population; Central Limit Theorem for sufficiently large samples (e.g. n ≥ 30); unbiased estimates of population mean and variance from a sample, including summarised data Σx and Σx², or Σ(x − a) and Σ(x − a)².
  • Include: null and alternative hypotheses H₀ and H₁, test statistic, critical region and value, significance level and p-value; formulating hypotheses and testing a population mean from a normal population of known variance or a large sample from any population; one- and two-tailed tests; contextual interpretation. Exclude the term Type I error, concept of Type II error and testing the difference between two population means.
  • Include: population and simple random sample; sample mean X̄ as a random variable with E(X̄) = μ and Var(X̄) = σ²/n; distribution of sample mean from a normal population; Central Limit Theorem for sufficiently large samples (e.g. n ≥ 30); unbiased estimates of population mean and variance from a sample, including summarised data Σx and Σx², or Σ(x − a) and Σ(x − a)².
  • Include: null and alternative hypotheses H₀ and H₁, test statistic, critical region and value, significance level and p-value; formulating hypotheses and testing a population mean from a normal population of known variance or a large sample from any population; one- and two-tailed tests; contextual interpretation. Exclude the term Type I error, concept of Type II error and testing the difference between two population means.

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