Heuristics, conjectures and critique

Work backwards, generalise from simpler cases, test conjectures and critique a written solution.

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Enlarged diagram

H3 problems often have no routine method. This lesson collects strategies that help when you are stuck, starting with working backwards from the result you want. It then separates a conjecture, suggested by a pattern in examples, from a proof, and practises the skill the 9820 paper asks for directly: reading someone else’s solution, deciding whether each step is justified, and repairing it where it fails.

Work backwards from the end

When a problem has a clear finishing condition, it often helps to start there and work backwards. Other heuristics in this lesson: solve a simpler problem, look for pattern and structure, consider cases, and restate the problem, for example by its contrapositive.

Worked example 1

A take-away game

There are 21 counters. Two players take turns to remove 1, 2 or 3 counters, and whoever takes the last counter wins. Should you go first, and if so, how should you play?

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  1. Work backwards from the end

    Method

    Call a number of counters losing if the player about to move loses against best play.

    Reason

    0 counters is losing for the player to move, because the opponent has just taken the last one.

    Working

    Answer

    From 1, 2 or 3 you can move to 0, so they are winning. From 4, every move leaves 1, 2 or 3, so 4 is losing. Repeating, the losing positions are 0,4,8,12,16,20: the multiples of 4.

  2. Turn the pattern into a strategy

    Method

    From a non-multiple of 4, take enough to reach a multiple of 4.

    Reason

    From a multiple of 4, any move of k counters can be answered with 4-k, returning to a multiple of 4.

    Working

    Answer

    21 is not a multiple of 4, so go first and take 1, leaving 20. After each opponent move of k, take 4-k. You take the last counter.

Check your understanding 1

Extend and generalise

Now each player may remove between 1 and k counters. Conjecture which starting numbers are losing for the first player, and justify your conjecture.

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The losing positions are the multiples of k + 1. From a multiple of k + 1, any move removes between 1 and k and leaves a non-multiple; the opponent then removes the remainder on division by k + 1, which is between 1 and k, to return to a multiple. From a non-multiple, removing that remainder reaches a multiple. The special case k = 3 gives the multiples of 4.

A pattern is a conjecture, not a proof

Place n points on a circle, join every pair with a chord, and choose the points so that no three chords meet at one interior point. Count the regions inside the circle:

n123456
Regions12481631

The first five values suggest 2ⁿ⁻¹, but n = 6 gives 31, not 32. The correct count is (n choose 4) + (n choose 2) + 1: each crossing of two chords, fixed by 4 of the points, adds a region, as does each chord, fixed by 2 points. Checking the formula: for n = 6, 15 + 15 + 1 = 31.

A good investigation formulates a conjecture from cases, tests it on further cases, especially special or extreme ones, and then either proves it or finds the case that breaks it.

Reading and critiquing a solution

To critique a solution, check each line: does it follow from the previous ones, and is every step that changes an equation reversible? A step that is not reversible, such as squaring both sides, can introduce answers that do not satisfy the original.

Spot the mistake 1

An extra solution

About 6 min

A student solves square root of (x + 2) = x as follows: “Squaring, x + 2 = x², so x²-x-2 = 0, (x-2)(x + 1) = 0, and the solutions are x = 2 and x = -1.” Critique the solution and complete it correctly.

Write your answer, then compare it with the solution

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  1. Find the irreversible step

    Method

    Squaring is not reversible: a² = b² also allows a = -b.

    Reason

    Candidates from the squared equation must be checked in the original.

    Working

    Answer

    x = 2: square root of 4 = 2, valid. x = -1: square root of 1 = 1 ≠ -1, so it is not a solution; it solves - square root of (x + 2) = x instead. The only solution is x = 2.

Common mistakes

  • Presenting a pattern checked on several cases as a proof.
  • Working backwards from the conclusion and then writing the steps in that order, so that the argument assumes what it should prove.
  • Accepting a step in a critiqued solution because its conclusion is true.
  • Stopping at “the solution is wrong” without identifying the first invalid step and correcting it.
  • Testing a conjecture only on convenient cases, such as small positive integers, and missing a counterexample.

Before you move on

Exam-style question 1

Sums of consecutive positive integers

7 marks

Some positive integers can be written as a sum of two or more consecutive positive integers; for example, 9 = 4 + 5 = 2 + 3 + 4.

(a) By investigating the integers from 1 to 16, form a conjecture about which positive integers cannot be written in this way. [2]

(b) Prove your conjecture. [5]

Write your answer, then compare it with the solution

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  1. Investigate and conjecture

    Method

    Try each integer: 3 = 1 + 2, 5 = 2 + 3, 6 = 1 + 2 + 3, 7 = 3 + 4, 9 = 4 + 5, 10 = 1 + 2 + 3 + 4, 11 = 5 + 6, 12 = 3 + 4 + 5, and so on.

    Reason

    Listing small cases systematically shows which values never appear.

    Working

    Answer

    From 1 to 16 the exceptions are 1,2,4,8,16. Conjecture: a positive integer cannot be written as a sum of two or more consecutive positive integers exactly when it is a power of 2.

  2. Find a formula for such a sum

    Method

    The sum of k ≥ 2 consecutive integers starting at a ≥ 1 is N = (k(2a + k-1))/2.

    Reason

    A formula turns “can be written” into a statement about factors of 2N.

    Working

    Answer

    So 2N = k(2a + k-1). The two factors differ by 2a-1, which is odd, so one is even and the other odd; and both are at least 2, since k ≥ 2 and 2a + k-1 ≥ k + 1.

  3. Powers of 2 cannot be written this way

    Method

    If N = 2^j, then 2N = 2^(j + 1) has no odd factor greater than 1.

    Reason

    But the odd factor in k(2a + k-1) is at least 3.

    Working

    Answer

    This is a contradiction, so no power of 2 is such a sum.

  4. Every other integer can

    Method

    If N = 2^jm with m ≥ 3 odd, let p be the smaller and q the larger of 2^(j + 1) and m.

    Reason

    Choosing k = p and 2a + k-1 = q reverses the formula; the opposite parity of p and q makes a a whole number.

    Working

    Answer

    Then pq = 2N, p ≥ 2, and a = (q-p + 1)/2 is a positive integer because q-p is odd and positive. For example, N = 12 gives 2N = 24 = 8 × 3, so k = 3, a = 3: 3 + 4 + 5 = 12. blacksquare

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