Probability

Choose counting structures, update probability models and use a condition to identify the relevant sample space.

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Counting and conditional probability

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SEAB syllabus · 2027 · MOE syllabus

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Before you begin

Choose counting structures, update probability models and use a condition to identify the relevant sample space.

Learning goals
  • Calculate ordered selections of distinct objects
  • Calculate unordered selections of distinct objects
  • Calculate event probabilities from finite uniform counts
  • Determine conditional probabilities from finite uniform counts
  • Classify finite-count event relationships with supporting count products
  • Use counting principles, permutations and combinations
  • Calculate and interpret conditional probabilities
  • Calculate event probabilities from an explicit sample space
  • Distinguish independence from mutual exclusivity
Syllabus statements covered
  • Include: addition and multiplication principles for counting; permutations nPr and combinations nCr; arrangements of distinct objects in a line with restrictions; addition and multiplication of probabilities; mutually exclusive and independent events; tables of outcomes, Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, permutations and combinations to calculate probabilities; conditional probabilities in simple cases; P(A′) = 1 − P(A); P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B); P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B).
  • Include: addition and multiplication principles for counting; permutations nPr and combinations nCr; arrangements of distinct objects in a line with restrictions; addition and multiplication of probabilities; mutually exclusive and independent events; tables of outcomes, Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, permutations and combinations to calculate probabilities; conditional probabilities in simple cases; P(A′) = 1 − P(A); P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B); P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B).

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